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NFL Week
11 Blog |
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With Tim Tebow having already pulled off another patented miracle win for the Broncos, it’s now time to look at the rest of the NFL Week 11 card.
This is the final week where teams will be off on a bye. There are four and they should all glad to be off. Pittsburgh and New Orleans are both coming off huge division wins on the road, while Indianapolis is 0-10 and Houston just lost QB Matt Schaub for the season.
We haven’t seen much line movement through Friday. The sharps are betting Washington as a home dog against Dallas, that’s for sure. You can still get this number above a touchdown at some books. It’s a pretty scary thought betting the Redskins right now as they are 0-5 SU/ATS the last five games, scoring 20 pts total in the last three.
Another NFC East game sees the other big line move of the week, but this one’s due to injury as Eagles QB Mike Vick is now likely out and as a result Philly is now a 6-point dog to the Giants (opened at 3.5).
Why is Chicago only favored by 3.5 over San Diego? Miami is favored over Buffalo? Could this be a case of buying low, selling high?
Atlanta is 11-2 ATS off a straight up loss, so you may want to take a look at the Falcons as a 6.5-point home favorite over Tennessee. Baltimore is also a favorite of us here at Footballpicks.com this week. Lay the seven against an overrated Bengals team.
Two really dog games this week with Cleveland a one-point favorite over Jacksonville and St. Louis favored by three over Seattle. Tough to bet either game. Both the Brown s and Jags are averaging less than 14 PPG. Meanwhile, the Rams are averaging less than 10 PPG if you factor out the win over the Saints, but Seattle is 5-16 ATS on the road, including 0-8 ATS off a home win.
Two double digit spreads this week, one on Monday night with the Pats looking to hammer a banged up Chiefs squad. Green Bay is now laying two touchdowns against Tampa Bay. Also, the Niners could close as double digit favorites over Arizona.
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